Truth and Consequences

Truth and Consequences

Is a Blue Wave a-Coming?

Democrats win big in a special election in the Lone Star and it's one more data point that suggests Democrats are poised to win big next November

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Michael A. Cohen
Feb 02, 2026
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A quick housekeeping note: This week’s “Two Bearded Jews Talk Politics” will have a very special guest, Abby Livingston, who covers Congress for Puck News. Abby is one of the best congressional reporters in the business, but she also grew up in the county in Texas where Saturday’s special election was held! So expect a wealth of great insights on Wednesday at 1:00. I’ll send out a reminder tomorrow, but in the meantime, you can bookmark the link here.

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Photo by Husen Siraaj on Unsplash

So there was some big political news in Texas this weekend:

In an upset that rattled Republicans in Texas and beyond, a Democrat decisively won a state legislative special election on Saturday in a district around Fort Worth that President Trump carried by more than 17 percentage points just over a year ago.

The Democrat, Taylor Rehmet, a local union leader and first-time candidate, defeated the Republican, Leigh Wambsganss, by double digits — 57 to 43 — in the historically conservative district.

For those who struggle with math, that’s a 31-point shift from 2024. Now it’s worth considering that Texas, like much of the country, is in the midst of a deep freeze, so turnout was low, and this was, after all, a special election. But still … 31 points!!!

Here are a Baker’s Dozen of takeaways about what it all means.

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